U.K. ETFs In Focus As Pound Surges Amid Brexit Announcement

From Tyler Durden: Having plunged to flash-crash lows on Sunday night following leaks of UK PM Theresa May’s Brexit speech, cable is soaring this morning as she delivered the speech confirming that both houses of Parliament will vote on the final Brexit deal.

We warned the “surprise” was priced in…

Surprise taken out of tomorrow’s speech. GBPUSD squeeze next?

— zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 16, 2017

And as Bloomberg notes, U.K. PM May’s announcement that both houses of Parliament will vote on the final Brexit deal is positive for the pound as the process should ensure that extreme outcomes are avoided, analysts say. The FT notes that the votes is expected in early 2019 and it is unclear what would happen if either house were to reject the deal.

  • “The deal has to be good” to be approved, BofAML strategist Athanasios Vamvakidis says in e-mailed comments
  • “Final take on this speech is that May has come across very well. This, in addition to the economic fundamentals, are good arguments for not being aggressively short GBP/USD below 1.20. The way she has come across today almost puts the EU in an out-of-touch position,” Stephen Gallo, analyst at BMO Capital Markets, says in e-mailed comments
  • The announcement on the Parliament vote fueled the initial extension of the GBP rally, partly because it raises expectations that MPs less in favor of Brexit could have more influence, according to Josh O’Byrne, strategist at Citigroup; still, big picture hasn’t changed much after this speech
  • May didn’t add to “hard-Brexit” fears, and hence the “sell-the-fact” reaction in the market, Manuel Oliveri, strategist at Credit Agricole, says in e-mailed comments

And the result is a chaotic spike in cable – the biggest move since 2008…

The iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (NYSE:EWU) was unchanged in premarket trading Tuesday. Year-to-date, EWU has gained 2.09%, versus a 1.34% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.

EWU currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #9 of 93 ETFs in the European Equities ETFs category.


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