From Doug Short: Despite its fractional -0.09% Friday decline, the S&P 500 posted a weekly gain of 1.03% for the fourth week of 2017, ending two weeks of small declines. The index is up 2.50% year-to-date.

As the five-day snapshot illustrates, all of this week’s gains came on Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by a narrow trading range, mostly in the shallow red, on Thursday and Friday. In one respect, that Friday loss was surprisingly small given the disappointing 1.9% Advance Estimate of Q4 GDP and relatively weak headline Durable Goods. But the US equity market appears more aligned with the surge in post-election Consumer Sentiment.

Here is a snapshot of the past five sessions.

The U.S. Treasury puts the closing yield on the 10-year note at 2.48%, down one BP from the previous Friday close.

Here is a weekly chart of the index.

A Perspective on Drawdowns

Here’s a snapshot of record highs and selloffs since the 2009 trough.

Here is a more conventional log-scale chart with drawdowns highlighted.

Here is a linear scale version of the same chart with the 50- and 200-day moving averages.

A Perspective on Volatility

For a sense of the correlation between the closing price and intraday volatility, the chart below overlays the S&P 500 since 2007 with the intraday price range. We’ve also included a 20-day moving average to help identify trends in volatility.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) closed at $228.97 on Friday, down $-0.36 (-0.16%). Year-to-date, SPY has gained 2.43%.

SPY currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #1 of 109 ETFs in the Large Cap Blend ETFs category.

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This article is brought to you courtesy of Advisor Perspectives.

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