Next Week’s Guests

Can We Profit in a Stagflationary Environment?

Kevin Duffy and John Rubino return as guests this week’s program

Most investors make money in bull markets and lose most of it in bear markets. An exception is Kevin Duffy whose Bearing fund registered triple-digit gains in the 2008 financial crisis. His Austrian school economic perspective paved the way for those stellar 2008-09 bear market profits. But that same perspective did not equip him to excel when policy makers inflated financial markets. He has since developed a strategy for making money in bull, bear or stagflationary markets. Kevin will share his views of the current tumultuous markets as well as some of his current investment ideas published in his Coffee Can Portfolio newsletter.

John will join me to discuss his sense of the current markets and share his views on how he thinks investors should plan for what is increasingly looking like a stagflation environment that may in fact be one of much greater magnitude than that of the 1970s. Your editor will pass along some of his investment ideas in his monologue.   

Kevin Duffy is principal of Bearing Asset Management which he co-founded in 2002. The firm manages the Bearing Core Fund, a contrarian, macro-themed hedge fund with a flexible mandate.

Bearing gained notoriety during the Great Financial Crisis by betting against stocks like New Century Financial, Fannie Mae, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers. Duffy wrote extensively on the housing and credit bubble identifying root causes of the bubble. A month later, he issued a warning in an op-ed for Barron’s titled “For Whom Do the Bells Toll.” The Bearing Credit Bubble Index was cited by Marc Faber in speeches and The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report.

Prior to Bearing, Duffy co-founded Lighthouse Capital Management and served as Director of Research from 1988 to 1999. He chronicled the excesses of the Japan and technology bubbles of the late 1980s and late 1990s respectively. The firm was later sold to Fisher Investments.

Duffy also publishes a bi-monthly investment letter called The Coffee Can Portfolio.

John Rubino is the founder of the popular financial website DollarCollapse.com. He is co-author, with GoldMoney’s James Turk, of The Money Bubble: What To Do Before It Pops, and author of Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green-Tech Boom (Wiley, 2008), The Collapse of the Dollar (also with James Turk), How to Profit from the Coming Real Estate Bust (Rodale, 2003) and Main Street, Not Wall Street(Morrow, 1998). After earning a Finance MBA from New York University, he spent the 1980s on Wall Street, as a Eurodollar trader, equity analyst and junk bond analyst. During the 1990s he was a featured columnist with TheStreet.com and a frequent contributor to Individual Investor, Online Investor, and Consumers Digest, among many other publications.

Previous Week’s Program

Keynesian Value Destruction

Alasdair Macleod, Quinton Hennigh and Michael Oliver return as guests this week.

About the time President Nixon detached gold from the international monetary system on August 15, 1971, he declared that “We are all Keynesians now!” That acceptance of the Keynesian economic religion by President Nixon, subsequent American presidents, and 99% of the American economic intelligentsia sealed the devastating financial market disasters that now lie ahead of America and the Western world.  Alasdair will help us understand the connection between Keynesian economics and the massive value destruction that Keynesian lies have resulted in and hopefully provide some guidance about how we, as individuals, can prepare for what is about to unfold.

Eloro Resources’ Iska Iska is being revealed now as a potential multi-billion-ounce, silver-equivalent discovery in Bolivia (the deposit is silver and tin rich). Quinton will update investors on the progress Eloro is making at Iska Iska.  Michael will provide his usual prescient view on key markets.

Alasdair Macleod has a background as a stockbroker, banker and economist. He is a Senior Fellow at the GoldMoney Foundation and Head of Research at Goldmoney.  His experience encompasses equity and bond markets, fund management, corporate finance and investment strategy. His weekly articles written for GoldMoney are posted on his blog at goldmoney.com/research/goldmoney-insights Because of his deep insights into underlying market dynamics, Alasdair is one of the most frequent guests on Turning Hard Times into Good Times. 

Quinton Hennigh is a member of the Crescat Capital management team and a director. He serves Crescat as the firm’s geologic and technical advisor. He is a globally renowned exploration geologist with 30+ years of precious metals mining experience. Dr. Hennigh began his career in gold exploration after obtaining his PhD in Geology/Geochemistry from the Colorado School of Mines. Early in his career he worked for major gold mining companies including Homestake Mining (now Barrick Gold Corp.), Newcrest Mining, and Newmont Corp. Later, Dr. Hennigh founded Novo Resources Corp (TSXV: NVO), acting as its CEO and currently serving as Non-Executive Co-Chairman. He has played a key role in major global discoveries such as Novo’s Pilbara assets in Western Australia, First Mining Gold’s Springpole gold deposit in Ontario, Kirkland Lake Gold’s Fostervillegold mine in Australia, the Rattlesnake Hills gold deposit in Wyoming, and Lion One’s Tuvatu gold project in Fiji, among many others.

Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton’s International Commodity Division, NYC. He studied under David Johnson, head of Hutton’s Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX.

In the 1980’s Oliver began to develop his own momentum-based method of technical analysis. In 1987 Oliver, along with his futures client accounts (Oliver had trading POA) technically anticipated and captured the Crash. Oliver began to realize that his emergent momentum-structural-based tools should be further developed into a full analytic methodology.

In 1992 he was asked by the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank’s Trust Department to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year Oliver shifted from brokerage to full-time technical research. MSA has provided its proprietary technical research services to financial and asset management clients continually since 1992. Oliver is the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.