Dow Jones Industrial Average Inflation-Adjusted Returns Since 2000? Just 25%

From Jill Mislinski: This update is a response to a standing request from a couple of sources that we also share with regular visitors to our Advisor Perspectives pages. It includes the latest monthly close data.

The request is for real (inflation-adjusted) charts of the S&P 500, Dow 30, and Nasdaq Composite. Here are two overlays — one with the nominal price, excluding dividends, and the other with the price adjusted for inflation based on the Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (which is usually just referred to as the CPI).

Nominal Gains

Real Gains

The charts require little explanation. So far the 21st Century has not been especially kind to equity investors. Yes, markets do bounce back, but often in time frames that defy optimistic expectations.

Performance of the SPY ETF

The charts above are based on price only. But what about dividends? Would the inclusion of dividends make a significant difference? Let’s take a look at the return on $1,000 invested in the SPY ETF at its March 2000 peak.

SPY ETF

The total return certainly looks better, but the real (inflation-adjusted) purchasing power of that $1,000 is currently only 488 dollars above break-even, a real compounded annual return of 2.37%.

The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:DIA) closed at $209.91 on Friday, up $0.02 (+0.01%). Year-to-date, DIA has gained 6.28%, versus a 6.66% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.

DIA currently has an ETF Daily News SMART Grade of A (Strong Buy), and is ranked #5 of 75 ETFs in the Large Cap Value ETFs category.


This article is brought to you courtesy of Advisor Perspectives.

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