The Dumb Money is Helping the Smart Money Exit the Stock Market

Bloomberg this week ran a story telling us how the smart money gets out of the stock market when it hits its all-time peak and how the dumb money helps the smart money out. Only they didn’t know that was what they were writing. It typically happens this way: At […]

All Fed up on Peak Debt

How inflated with debt have we become? How long can we float on our own bloat? Reasonably trim in 1970, the sum of all debt publicly financed by the US government was $275 billion. Last week, the government sought to raise $258 billion in just one week! The weekly financing […]

As a Matter of INTEREST, Talk of Inflation Fear…

As a Matter of INTEREST, Talk of Inflation Fear, the Fed’s Perfect Unwind, Concern about Wages is ALL Economic Denial The Federal Reserve is now hacking its own zombie recovery to death and eating it by reversing the actions it employed to create this artificially supported recovery. Each time the […]

Stock Market Plunge Breaks Records

Stock Market’s Massive Moves Not Seen Since Great Recession: Many who didn’t see the bubble bursting have fallen Talk about the market busting a move … and a lot of people! In less than half a month, the Trump Rally lost a third of the height it had developed over […]

Epochal Stock Market Flash Crash

Market Flash Crash Reconnects Stocks and Bonds, Portends End of Fake Recovery It took sixteen months to build the exceptionally steep Trump Rally, and just one week to eliminate a quarter of it. While I wouldn’t call that jolting reversal a stock-market crash, the largest one-day point fall in the history […]

Grandma Yellen Pats Markets on the Head and Sends them off to Bed … with a Warm Glass of Poison

The sweet grande dame of the central bankster world sees nothing but the brightest future to the furthest horizons for the markets she has been nurturing with her benevolent “wealth effect,” as one of her close colleagues called it. While Grandpa Greenspan routinely warns now that stock and bond markets are in […]

What Groundhog Day Says About The Frosty Season Ahead

I’m pretty sure the nation’s favorite groundhog, Punxsutawney Phil, knows more about the weather than he does about markets, and I’m not all that sure he knows anything about the weather! In fact, I don’t understand the underground methods of this rodent resident of Gobbler’s Knob at all. It would seem […]

I Bet My Blog on a 2018 Economic Collapse — 2018 Economic Predictions

My 2018 economic predictions follow through on the accurate predictions I made in 2017…. I realized back then that, for the short term (2017-2018), Trump would seriously alter the economic trajectory of the US established during the Obama years — the path by which I had been predicting an economic […]

The Ghosts of Crashes Past, Recent, and Future as they Appeared on this Blog

It’s not boasting to state plainly that you were right if you are equally direct about your errors. I have until now rightly predicted all of the stock market’s major downturns, starting with the one in 2007 that gave us the Great Recession. The first of those led to the […]

Trump Tax Plan Greatest Gift Establishment Ever Got

http://thegreatrecession.info/blog/trump-tax-plan-establishment-gift/ As soon as President Trump put his Goldman boys, Gary Cohn and Steven Mnuchin, in charge of his tax plan, I knew Trump’s tax plan would never fulfill his and his henchmen’s promises of helping the middle class and of not giving additional tax breaks to the rich. The Trump […]

Stock and Awe, Bears in Bondage

http://thegreatrecession.info/blog/stock-and-awe-bears-in-bondage/ The Trump Rally pushed ahead relentlessly through a summer full of high omens and great disasters, all which it swatted off like flies. Even so, all was not perfect in the market as nerves began to jitter midsummer beneath the surface even among the most longtime bulls. Wall Street’s fear gauge […]

Federal Reserve Hesitates on QE Unwind / Balance Sheet Reduction

Is the Federal Reserve’s Great Unwind already coming unwound? I thought it would be good to check up on Federal Reserve balance sheet reduction since the Fed is supposed to be up and running on the move out of quantitative easing this month. It should be fascinating to see what progress the […]

Here’s You and Here’s the Top Ten Percent

In a nutshell, here is a graph that summarizes everything you need to know about the US economy. Unless you’re in the top ten percent of income producers in the nation — or, at least, living in their neighborhood — you are living in a dingy bedroom economy that has […]

Yawning Debt Trap Proves the Great Recession is Still On

While David Stockman stated early this year with resolute certainty that the debt ceiling debate would blow congress up and send the nation reeling over the financial precipice, I avoided jumping on the debt-ceiling bandwagon. While I was convinced major rifts in the economy would start to show up in […]

Nuclear Stupidity: Tillerson Says Diplomacy Continues Till First Bomb Drops

“Secretary of State Rex Tillerson says President Donald Trump wants him to push forward on diplomacy with North Korea “until the first bomb drops.” (Bloomberg)   Brilliant! That means until the first entire city is destroyed. At least, that is what it could easily prove to mean … unless he […]

US Stock Market Whistles Past the Graveyard

It was a summer fit for the start of the Epocalypse followed by a fall where every event leans into Halloween. Summer began with a total solar eclipse that cast a long shadow across the nation from sea to shining sea, and fall began with hurricanes, mass bloodshed and fire. And through […]

I Know What the Economy Did Last Summer Part 2: The Real Estate Rollover

In fact, I knew what the economy did last summer before summer even began. Since the beginning of the year, I have been writing that it appeared housing was reaching a new bubblicious peak and that the real estate market was getting ready to roll over. Just before the start of the summer, I […]

I Know What the Economy Did Last Summer Part 1 : Carmageddon and the Retail Apocalypse

Summer closed in a whirlwind of weather chaos for the United States and its territories. At the start of the summer, the US economy began to show signs that it was flying apart. The two most obvious were the big blowouts in the auto industry and in retail, not all […]

Hurricanes Harvey and Irma May Lend Helping Hand to Economy, but Hurricane Iniki and Katrina Tell More Complex Longterm Tales

It is widely believed that World War II gave us the end of the Great Depression. As a result, people have said for decades there is nothing like a wartime economy to bring recovery from economic recession. War blows apart a lot of things, so you have to make a […]

Wars and Rumors of Wars: Fire and Fury Signifying Nothing? Stock market caught in the crossfire

August is a sultry month for stocks as markets thin out during the dog days of summer. Everyone leaves investing for a break from the heat. Statistically, August is the worst month for overall stock performance, while September delivers more of whatever August sends its way or brings its own […]