The Worst Case Scenario for Retired or Nearly Retired Investors Who Are 55+

September 21, 2022 I just did some research and wrote about it. I should be clear that you may find this article a little unsettling if you are nearing retirement or have already retired. On the other hand, it’s an eye-opener because the financial markets and different asset prices paint […]

Will Inflation Data Result In More Aggressive Action By The FED?

September 15, 2022 Recent CPI/Inflation data suggests the current wave of global inflation is far from “transitory” and may persist for many months – possibly years. Some believe it is primarily a supply-side issue related to the COVID shutdowns. I think it is a combination of factors driving higher inflation […]

New Gold Apex Pattern

How Will The US Fed Rate Decision Affect This? My research shows a new Gold Apex pattern is set up for September 11~15. Around September 11 or after, Gold will attempt to reach this new Apex level near $1766. This price pattern is important because the US Fed rate decision […]

Gold-to-Silver Ratio Heading Lower – Setup Like 1989-03

Fear is starting to become an issue. Traders are starting to realize inflation, CPI, PPI, and global currencies are reacting to the sudden policy shift by the US Fed and global central banks. This fear is showing up in the Gold-to-Silver ratio as well. My research suggests the closest comparison […]

Should We Be Prepared For An Aggressive U.S. Fed In The Future?

Traders expect the U.S. Fed to soften as Chairman Powell suggested they have reached a neutral rate with the last rate increase. The US stock markets started an upward trend after the last 75bp rate increase – expecting the U.S. Fed to move toward a more data-driven rate adjustment. My […]

Do Fed Rate Decisions Affect The Price Patterns For Gold?

Many traders are focused on Gold as price has contracted over the past 5+ weeks, and the $1700 level is being retested. This prompted my team and I to do some research related to the US Federal Reserve’s recent rate increases and how Gold has previously reacted to rising and […]

Is the inflation boom quickly turning to an inflation bust?

June 27, 2022 We are only 6-months into the year, and it seems like the inflation boom is quickly going bust. The last few months have been very interesting as we see traders (rotating) moving out of one investment or market and into another. But as losses mount and capital […]

Investors Who Are Liquidating To A Cash Position – What To Do Next?

June 13, 2022 Bank of America, Michael Hartnett, Chief Investment Strategist recently stated, “The bear-market rally for stocks has disappeared as investor concerns about inflation and interest rates linger.” “We’re in a technical recession but just don’t realize it.” Freight Waves, Henry Byers reported, “US import demand is dropping off […]

Strong U.S. Dollar Biting Into Multinationals

“A hawkish Federal Reserve and heightened geopolitical tensions have driven a 14% gain in the U.S. dollar against a basket of currencies over the last year, forcing companies such as Cocoa-Cola Co (KO.N) and Procter & Gamble (PG.N) to temper expectations for the rest of the year.” Microsoft is one […]

Lessons Learned From A Trading Profit Made Shorting Stocks

Jesse Lauriston Livermore (July 26, 1877 – November 28, 1940) was an American stock trader who made a $100 million trading profit by shorting stocks in the great crash of 1929. He is considered a pioneer of day trading and was the basis for the main character of the best-selling […]

Sell And Go To Cash Position Or Hang On By Your Fingernails?

As professional traders, we spend a lot of resources determining whether we are in a bull-up market or a bear-down market. The follow-up to this is our additional efforts in finding the right places to buy or sell in either of these scenarios. As traders, we also have different styles […]

Is The US Dollar The Global Safe-Haven?

    May 4, 2022 Global investors continue to pile into the US Dollar making it the primary safe-haven trade.  This may eventually trigger a broad and deep selloff in U.S. stocks. As the USD continues to strengthen, corporate profits for US multinationals will begin to disappear. The following chart […]

Where Are Investors Putting Their Money – Now Vs. Then?

Investors have been processing high inflation reports, rising interest rates, surging energy, commodity, and real estate prices. So, what is the market saying about which markets investors have favored the last couple of years vs where are they putting their money right now? A way to determine this is to […]

Major Indexes Continue To Be Outperformed By Energy & Metals

Recent rallies in the major indexes have had a hard time hanging onto their gains lately. ETFs like XOP (S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production), XME (S&P Metals & Mining), and XLU (Utilities) have been experiencing capital inflows. At the same time, other ETFs such as DIA (30-Industrials), SPY (500-Large […]

U.S. Dollar (USD) Is On Our Radar!

Since the USD plays such a strong role in global economics, we thought it appropriate to see how the USD performance is vs. other currencies and investments. For the U.S. consumer, a strong USD means U.S. goods are more expensive in foreign markets. For U.S. companies that buy or sell […]

How To Use A ‘Collar’ To Protect Your Portfolio Against Losses

How can we protect our portfolio against losses when stocks are in a correction?  Or even if stocks are not currently in a correction?   There are many schools of thought on that.  One way is to close positions and wait for more bullish times on the sidelines.  But that may […]

The Taxman vs Traders – How To Minimize His Cut Of Your Profits

While the reality is hopefully not quite that bad, as Traders and Investors, we need to consider our silent partner, the “Taxman,” and how to minimize his cut of our profits. Having a “tax problem” can be a good “problem” to have. But we’re not obligated to pay any more […]

US Federal Reserve – Playing With Fire Part II

The US Federal Reserve has recently taken steps to communicate a change in future policy – suggesting raising interest rates and acting more aggressively to combat inflation. Throughout the last few weeks of 2021 and early 2022, these comments and posturing by the US Fed have created some very big […]

Death, Taxes, and Time Decay

Few things are certain in life.  But as the old saying goes, there is nothing quite so certain as “death and taxes”.  As an Options Trader, I would enthusiastically add option time decay to that list.   Options offer traders and investors more leverage and risk mitigation than just purchasing […]

Will 2022~23 Require A Different Strategy For Traders/Investors?

Is The Lazy-Bull Strategy Worth Considering? – Part I Many traders struggled in 2021 with the extended price volatility and sideways price trends. Recently, news that Bridgewater’s 2021 results were saved by December’s +7.8% gain (Source: Yahoo! Finance) leads me to believe a number of independent funds and investors are […]