The Peak Of The S&P 500 Stock Market Rally – Nearing The Top?

July 6, 2021 Are the US stock markets poised for a reversion price event in the near future? My research team and I believe $4400 on the S&P 500 may be a key psychological level that many traders are unaware of in the immediate term.  Some very interesting Fibonacci and […]

Q2 To Q3 – Sounds A Bit Like A Chess Game

The Question To Answer Being: Where Will The US Stock Markets Take Us Next? July 1, 2021 As we watched the NASDAQ and S&P 500 rally to the end of Q2:2021, many traders asked themselves “Will this rally continue throughout the early part of Q3:2021 and beyond?”.  Although we don’t […]

The Trend Is Your Friend Until It Isn’t

Dow Jones And Transportation Index Breaching Critical Price Support Ahead Of FOMC Meeting Over the past few weeks, we have watched the markets continue their attempt to melt higher. Recently the Down Jones and the Transportation Index have breached a lower upward sloping support channel that suggests traders are preparing […]

Big Pharma Is Back! Biotech Skyrockets On Biogen’s New s Drug

Biotech Skyrockets On Biogen’s New Alzheimer Drug Approval – But What Does BAN Say? The FDA issued an accelerated approval status for Biogen’s new Alzheimer drug with specific requirements related to consumer use and results.  In these cases, the FDA is allowing Biogen to move into a more open consumer […]

Preservation Of Wealth vs You Only Live Once – AMC

Another Victory For Retail Traders As AMC Price Blasts Off In a market flush with cash where traders are able to use social media to target heavily shorted symbols – incredible things can, and often do happen.  AMC follows GME to the heavens as retail traders flex their muscles while […]

US Major Indexes Consolidate Into Sideways/Flagging Patern

Over the past few weeks, the US major indexes have consolidated into a sideways price channel.  This is most obvious on the NASDAQ and SPY charts as we’ve seen moderately deep pullbacks through the months of April/May 2021.  My research suggests this sideways price Flagging might be concerning for active […]

Gold Appears To Be Staging New Momentum Base

Although Gold has continued to drift downward after reaching a peak near $2089.20 in early August 2020, our Custom Gold Inverse Trending Index suggests this weakness has actually built a very strong momentum base – preparing for a big move higher. The relationship of Gold to the US Dollar is […]

Entering a Technical ‘Excess Phase Top’? Should You Be In Cash Now?

Are Apple, Tesla, and Bitcoin Entering a Technical ‘Excess Phase Top’? Should You Be In Cash Right Now? Part II In the first part of this research series, I highlighted the broad market cycles and what technical analysts call the “Excess Phase Top” process, which usually takes place after the […]

Gold & Silver Begin New Advancing Cycle Phase

May 3, 2021 Before going into detail regarding my latest research and cycle phases, I want you to think of these cycle phases as Advancing and Declining cycle trends.  They act as a “build-up of trend”, then an “unwinding of trend”.  In each instance, trends can be either Bullish, Bearish, […]

Are Metals & Miners Starting A New Longer-Term Bullish Trend?

Almost in stealth mode, precious metals have begun to bottom and start a new upside price trend while the US stock market focused on the FOMC meeting a few weeks back and current economic data.  Gold, Silver, and many of the Miner ETFs recently started a moderately strong push higher […]

SPY Is Nearing Resistance @ $410…

My shorter-term analysis for the markets continues to stay Bullish and suggests the US reflation trade, the strengthening of the US and the global economy, and recovery from the COVID-19 restrictions will likely prompt a moderately strong upside price trend leading into at least mid Q2:2021.  The recent strength of […]

How To Spot Boom and Bust Cycles

One of the most important aspects of trading is being able to properly identify major market cycles and trends. The markets will typically move between four separate stages: Bottoming/Basing, Rallying, Topping/Distribution, and Bearish Trending.  Each of these phases of market trends is often associated with various degrees of market segment […]

Precious Metals Miners Setting Up For A Breakout Rally. Wait for Confirmation

Precious Metals have continued to slide sideways as the US stock markets have rallied into the FOMC meeting last week.  Not by coincidence, metals have continued to base/bottom near recent lows as concerns about the global debt/credit markets, central banks, and precious metal supplies continue to linger.  The US Fed […]

Are the U.S. markets sending a warning signal?

After an incredible rally phase that initiated just one day before the US elections in November 2020, we’ve seen certain sectors rally extensively.  Are the markets starting to warn us that this rally phase may be stalling?  We noticed very early that some of the strongest sectors appear to be […]

STIMULUS AND CONSUMERS ARE THE KEYS TO FURTHER US/GLOBAL ECONOMIC RECOVERY-II

March 9, 2021 This is a continuation of our extended technical review of what my research team and I believe will be required for the US/Global markets to enter a stronger post-COVID-19 recovery phase. If you missed Part I of this research series then you can find it here: www.thetechnicaltraders.com/stimulus-and-consumers-are-the-keys-to-further-us-global-economic-recovery-part-i/. […]

Stimulus And Consumers Are The Keys – Part I

March 7, 2021 At this point in our lives, we are hoping the new COVID-19 vaccines will do their part to help move the world towards more normal consumer and economic activities.  The US Senate recently a new $1.9 Trillion stimulus package that should continue to provide assistance to various […]

Gold Predictive Modeling Suggests A New Rally Targeting $2300+But When?

March 3, 2021 One of our readers’ favorite tools is the Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system.  This tool maps out technical and price patterns into an array of similar setups using historical data, then applies that data to current and future price bars.  Using the ADL predictive Modeling […]

Treasury Yields Rally May Trigger A Crazy Ivan Event (Again)!

March 1, 2021 Since shortly after the US November elections, my research team and I have been clear about our research and our belief that the bullish rally in the markets would continue to drive the strongest sectors higher and higher.  In December 2020, we shared an article suggesting our […]

Bonds And Stimulus Are Driving Big Sector Trends And Shifting Capital

Falling Bonds and rising yields are creating a condition in the global markets where capital is shifting away from Technology, Communication Services and Discretionary stocks have suddenly fallen out of favor, and Financials, Energy, Real Estate, and Metals/Miners are gaining strength.  The rise in yields presents an opportunity for Banks […]

How to Protect Your Positions From A Market Sell-Off Using Options

Today we are going to explore how you can use options to hedge against a sudden market reversal. As you know I am going to be launching a new options service with an options specialist, Neil Szczepanski, shortly so you should start seeing more and more research on options from […]