Has Zillow’s Collapse Signaled A Warning For The Capital Markets? Part II

In part one of this article, we discussed how the recent decline in Zillow, Redfin, and Opendoor share prices could reflect a concern that the risks involved in holding large home inventories while attempting to “flip houses” could present for these Real Estate firms. The recent 50% price drop in […]

Real Estate ETFs React To Rising Mortgage Rates – Part II

As the Real Estate market shifts away from super-low interest rates and skyrocketing home prices throughout the COVID-19 crisis, we are starting to see the Real Estate ETFs weaken in trend and start to move lower.  The recent rising Mortgage Rates will likely continue to weaken sales trends and push […]

Real Estate ETFs React To Rising Mortgage Rates – Part I

US Mortgage Rates have risen from levels near 2% to 2.25% earlier in 2021 to levels now above 3%. This increase in the cost of borrowing money for home purchases has a downward effect on home prices and sales. The affordability of homes is directly related to the sales price […]

Gold Inverted Head-n-Shoulders Suggests $2000+ Is Next Upside Target

After a moderately strong rebound from the $1675 lows in early August, Gold has clearly started to set up the Right Shoulder of what appears to be an Inverted Head-and-Shoulders pattern. The recent weakness in the US Dollar suggests any breakdown in the US Dollar below $91.70 will likely prompt […]

Rally On – Price Range Continues To Narrow As Reflation Trade Flags Out

After a week of moderate volatility, while Consumer Sentiment and other economic data surprised traders/investors, the US markets entered a strong rally phase early in trading on Monday, August 23, 2021.  This suggests traders continue to buy the dips in expectation of a never-ending rally trend. Bucking Consumer Sentiment Trends […]

Volume Suggests US Stock Market Momentum Is Weakening

Weakening volume after an extended rally phase is fairly common.  It represents a complacency in the markets where traders/investors are unwilling to chase an extended rally phase at higher prices.  Often traders are waiting for some type of market correction or rotation to happen – which will allow them to […]

Global Markets Very Volatile – Metals & Oil Collapse, Part II

In this, the second part of our Market Volatility research article, we’ll take a look at how Precious Metals, the US Dollar, and the US major markets have moved into a sideways price trend which supports a pending future volatility event.  The big “mini flash-crash” in precious metals on Monday, […]

What’s Next For The US Markets?

When The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) Reenters Price Flag Range – What’s Next For The US Markets? Early 2021 surprised investors with a very strong bullish price rally in the US major indexes and the Russell 2000. Then, in March, the Russell 2000 peaked near $234.53 and entered a sideways […]

The Peak Of The S&P 500 Stock Market Rally – Nearing The Top?

July 6, 2021 Are the US stock markets poised for a reversion price event in the near future? My research team and I believe $4400 on the S&P 500 may be a key psychological level that many traders are unaware of in the immediate term.  Some very interesting Fibonacci and […]

Q2 To Q3 – Sounds A Bit Like A Chess Game

The Question To Answer Being: Where Will The US Stock Markets Take Us Next? July 1, 2021 As we watched the NASDAQ and S&P 500 rally to the end of Q2:2021, many traders asked themselves “Will this rally continue throughout the early part of Q3:2021 and beyond?”.  Although we don’t […]

The Trend Is Your Friend Until It Isn’t

Dow Jones And Transportation Index Breaching Critical Price Support Ahead Of FOMC Meeting Over the past few weeks, we have watched the markets continue their attempt to melt higher. Recently the Down Jones and the Transportation Index have breached a lower upward sloping support channel that suggests traders are preparing […]

Big Pharma Is Back! Biotech Skyrockets On Biogen’s New s Drug

Biotech Skyrockets On Biogen’s New Alzheimer Drug Approval – But What Does BAN Say? The FDA issued an accelerated approval status for Biogen’s new Alzheimer drug with specific requirements related to consumer use and results.  In these cases, the FDA is allowing Biogen to move into a more open consumer […]

Preservation Of Wealth vs You Only Live Once – AMC

Another Victory For Retail Traders As AMC Price Blasts Off In a market flush with cash where traders are able to use social media to target heavily shorted symbols – incredible things can, and often do happen.  AMC follows GME to the heavens as retail traders flex their muscles while […]

US Major Indexes Consolidate Into Sideways/Flagging Patern

Over the past few weeks, the US major indexes have consolidated into a sideways price channel.  This is most obvious on the NASDAQ and SPY charts as we’ve seen moderately deep pullbacks through the months of April/May 2021.  My research suggests this sideways price Flagging might be concerning for active […]

Gold Appears To Be Staging New Momentum Base

Although Gold has continued to drift downward after reaching a peak near $2089.20 in early August 2020, our Custom Gold Inverse Trending Index suggests this weakness has actually built a very strong momentum base – preparing for a big move higher. The relationship of Gold to the US Dollar is […]

Entering a Technical ‘Excess Phase Top’? Should You Be In Cash Now?

Are Apple, Tesla, and Bitcoin Entering a Technical ‘Excess Phase Top’? Should You Be In Cash Right Now? Part II In the first part of this research series, I highlighted the broad market cycles and what technical analysts call the “Excess Phase Top” process, which usually takes place after the […]

Gold & Silver Begin New Advancing Cycle Phase

May 3, 2021 Before going into detail regarding my latest research and cycle phases, I want you to think of these cycle phases as Advancing and Declining cycle trends.  They act as a “build-up of trend”, then an “unwinding of trend”.  In each instance, trends can be either Bullish, Bearish, […]

Are Metals & Miners Starting A New Longer-Term Bullish Trend?

Almost in stealth mode, precious metals have begun to bottom and start a new upside price trend while the US stock market focused on the FOMC meeting a few weeks back and current economic data.  Gold, Silver, and many of the Miner ETFs recently started a moderately strong push higher […]

SPY Is Nearing Resistance @ $410…

My shorter-term analysis for the markets continues to stay Bullish and suggests the US reflation trade, the strengthening of the US and the global economy, and recovery from the COVID-19 restrictions will likely prompt a moderately strong upside price trend leading into at least mid Q2:2021.  The recent strength of […]

How To Spot Boom and Bust Cycles

One of the most important aspects of trading is being able to properly identify major market cycles and trends. The markets will typically move between four separate stages: Bottoming/Basing, Rallying, Topping/Distribution, and Bearish Trending.  Each of these phases of market trends is often associated with various degrees of market segment […]